45 running journeys · All lifecycle stages · vs. May 20 baseline
| Performance Tier | Journeys | Users Entered | Goals Met | Avg Goal Rate | Key Journeys |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Performers >50% goal rate | 14 | 109K | 96K | 74.6% | KYC-PD (94%), J06-UG (87%), J02-UG (89%), J09-UG (77%) |
| Solid Performers 20-50% goal rate | 12 | 96K | 30K | 31.5% | J11-UG BigLoan (37%), J12-UG Referral (60%), J03-GH (37%) |
| Underperformers 5-20% goal rate | 8 | 105K | 12K | 10.8% | J11-GH BigLoan (21%), J05-GH (23%), J10-GH (6%) |
| Low Performers <5% goal rate | 5 | 115K | 2.1K | 2.7% | J08-GH (2.8%), J04-GH (3.5%), J04-UG (3.4%) |
| Low Volume <500 entered | 6 | 776 | 417 | 48.6% | Savings Goals (Travel, Buy, Family), Salary Advance |
| Journey | ID | Goal Event | Entered | Goals Met | Goal Rate | Prev Rate | Change | Boost % | Assessment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J01 — Registration → KYC Activation | ||||||||||
| J01 Registration → KYC | GH | 355 | KYC Completion | 40,903 | 25,404 | 62.1% | 60.3% | +1.8pp | +0.44% | Healthy |
| J01 Registration → KYC | UG | 369 | KYC Completion | 13,242 | 7,367 | 55.6% | — | New | — | Solid |
| J02 — KYC → Survey → Eligibility Check | ||||||||||
| J02 KYC → Survey | GH | 356 | Survey + Eligibility | 24,612 | 19,186 | 78.0% | 75.7% | +2.3pp | +2.30% | Healthy |
| J02 KYC → Survey | UG | 370 | Survey + Eligibility | 6,738 | 5,980 | 88.8% | — | New | — | Star |
| J03 — Eligible → First Loan | ||||||||||
| J03 Eligible → First Loan | GH | 358 | First Loan Disbursed | 25,383 | 9,275 | 36.5% | 12.3% | +24.2pp | -1.13% | Boost concern |
| J03 Eligible → First Loan | UG | 371 | First Loan Disbursed | 3,431 | 2,174 | 63.4% | — | New | — | Star |
| J04 — Ineligible → Eligibility Improvement | ||||||||||
| J04 Ineligible → Improvement | GH | 357 | Eligibility Achieved | 19,181 | 675 | 3.5% | 2.6% | +0.9pp | -8.34% | Negative boost |
| J04 Ineligible → Improvement | UG | 372 | Eligibility Achieved | 5,843 | 198 | 3.4% | — | New | — | Low conversion |
| J05 — L0 Onboarding → L1 Conversion | ||||||||||
| J05 L0 → L1 | GH | 361 | L1 Conversion | 10,291 | 2,399 | 23.3% | 14.3% | +9.0pp | +2.35% | Improving |
| J05 L0 → L1 | UG | 386 | L1 Conversion | 2,310 | 520 | 22.5% | — | New | — | Solid |
| J06 — Post-Repayment Reborrow Nudge | ||||||||||
| J06 Reborrow | GH | 362 | Re-Loan Disbursed | 5,029 | 3,606 | 71.7% | 49.7% | +22.0pp | +3.79% | Star performer |
| J06 Reborrow | UG | 387 | Re-Loan Disbursed | 1,186 | 1,031 | 86.9% | — | New | — | Star performer |
GH goal rate jumped from 49.7% to 71.7% (+22pp). UG at 86.9%. Highest-converting loan journey in the portfolio. CTR 7-11% across all push nodes — best engagement of any lifecycle journey.
J03-GH (-1.13%) and J04-GH (-8.34%) underperform their control groups. J03 is the primary revenue journey — needs urgent investigation. The journey may be cannibalizing organic conversion or the control group is self-selecting.
J02-UG (88.8% vs 78.0%) and J03-UG (63.4% vs 36.5%) show dramatically higher goal rates. Could be smaller but higher-intent UG audience, or better message-market fit. Worth investigating what drives this delta.
J01 (62%) → J02 (78%) → J03 (37-63%) → J05 (23%) → J06 (72-87%). The main leak is J03 Eligible→First Loan and J04 Ineligible→Improvement. Focus optimization here.
| Journey | ID | Goal Event | Entered | Goals Met | Goal Rate | Prev Rate | Change | Boost % | Assessment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J08 — EasySave Cross-Sell | ||||||||||
| J08 EasySave Cross-Sell | GH | 364 | Savings Enrollment | 37,421 | 1,058 | 2.8% | 1.2% | +1.6pp | +24.04% | High boost, low rate |
| J09 — Registration Incomplete (App Drop) | ||||||||||
| J09 App Drop Recovery | GH | 365 | Registration Complete | 13,471 | 6,899 | 51.2% | 73.3% | -22.1pp | +3.08% | Rate dropped |
| J09 App Drop Recovery | UG | 388 | Registration Complete | 7,860 | 6,033 | 76.8% | — | New | — | Star |
| J10 — Referral | Post-Repayment | ||||||||||
| J10 Referral Post-Repay | GH | 366 | Referral Sent | 14,421 | 852 | 5.9% | 2.0% | +3.9pp | +116.9% | Highest boost |
| J10 Referral Post-Repay | UG | 395 | Referral Sent | 1,513 | 358 | 23.7% | — | New | — | Strong |
| J11 — Referral | Post-Disbursement | ||||||||||
| J11 Referral Post-Disb | GH | 391 | Referral Sent | 29,049 | 1,432 | 4.9% | 1.6% | +3.3pp | +34.62% | Improving |
| J11 Referral Post-Disb | UG | 396 | Referral Sent | 3,311 | 795 | 24.0% | — | New | — | Strong |
| J12 — Referral | Banner Clicks | ||||||||||
| J12 Referral Banner | GH | 397 | Referral Sent | 4,466 | 1,429 | 32.0% | 23.8% | +8.2pp | +8.22% | Strong |
| J12 Referral Banner | UG | 398 | Referral Sent | 1,804 | 1,089 | 60.4% | — | New | — | Star |
| J11 — Bigger Loan (Eligibility Auto-Trigger) | ||||||||||
| J11 Bigger Loan | GH | 389 | Banner Clicked | 14,274 | 3,000 | 21.0% | — | New since Apr 29 | +7.58% | Solid |
| J11 Bigger Loan | UG | 399 | Banner Clicked | 2,803 | 1,033 | 36.9% | — | New since May 5 | — | Strong |
| J12 — Bigger Loan (Banner Clicked) | ||||||||||
| J12 Bigger Loan | GH | 390 | Doc Submitted | 5,802 | 1,241 | 21.4% | — | New since Apr 29 | +71.4% | High boost |
| J12 Bigger Loan | UG | 400 | Doc Submitted | 1,875 | 608 | 32.4% | — | New since May 5 | — | Strong |
J10-GH delivers +116.9% boost vs control — the strongest incremental impact of any journey. J10+J11+J12 form a referral system: J10 (post-repay) and J11 (post-disb) push broad eligible base, J12 (banner click) catches high-intent users at 32-60% goal rate.
J11 drives banner clicks (21-37% rate), J12 catches clickers for doc upload (21-32% rate, +71.4% boost in GH). The pair is effectively a 2-stage funnel. UG outperforms GH on both stages.
From 73.3% to 51.2% — significant decline. UG variant at 76.8% matches the old GH level. Possible causes: audience expansion to lower-intent users, or creative fatigue. Investigate GH copy and entry criteria.
+24% boost proves the journey works incrementally, but 2.8% absolute goal rate means 97% of the 37K entrants don't convert. Structural savings adoption challenge — consider targeting refinement rather than more messages.
| Journey | ID | Goal Event | Entered | Goals Met | Goal Rate | Prev Rate | Change | Boost % | Assessment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KYC-PD — No Personal Details / Address | ||||||||||
| KYC-PD | GH | 384 | Personal Details Done | 31,555 | 29,777 | 94.4% | 94.1% | +0.3pp | -0.89% | Highest rate |
| KYC-PD | UG | 385 | Personal Details Done | 9,047 | 8,587 | 94.9% | — | New | — | Highest rate |
| KYC-LV — Liveness Check Failure | ||||||||||
| KYC-LV | GH | 379 | KYC Completed | 47,077 | 31,248 | 66.4% | 64.3% | +2.1pp | -0.39% | Stable |
| KYC-LV | UG | 380 | KYC Completed | 10,545 | 8,934 | 84.7% | — | New | — | Star |
| KYC-NI — No ID / ID Not Found | ||||||||||
| KYC-NI | GH | 382 | ID Uploaded | 36,865 | 21,412 | 58.1% | 58.6% | -0.5pp | -3.47% | Neg boost |
| KYC-NI | UG | 383 | ID Uploaded | 12,291 | 7,285 | 59.3% | — | New | — | Solid |
| KYC-SF — Selfie / Photo Quality Failure | ||||||||||
| KYC-SF | GH | 375 | Selfie Completed | 4,809 | 3,231 | 67.2% | 62.7% | +4.5pp | -0.09% | Stable |
| KYC-SF | UG | 378 | Selfie Completed | 1,507 | 556 | 36.9% | — | New | — | Low for KYC |
| KYC-DM — Data Mismatch Recovery (UG only) | ||||||||||
| KYC-DM | UG | 374 | KYC Completed | 909 | 522 | 57.4% | — | New | — | Solid |
| KYC Details Fail V3 (GH legacy) | ||||||||||
| KYC Fail V3 | GH | 353 | KYC Retry | 4,324 | 2,348 | 54.3% | 56.0% | -1.7pp | -10.43% | Neg boost |
94-95% goal rate in both markets. SMS-only, acts as a reminder for high-intent users. The negative boost (-0.89%) suggests users would complete this anyway — but the cost is minimal (SMS only). Keep as-is.
KYC-PD (-0.89%), KYC-LV (-0.39%), KYC-NI (-3.47%), KYC-SF (-0.09%), KYC Fail V3 (-10.43%). This pattern suggests KYC recovery is largely organic — users retry on their own. The journeys may cause friction rather than drive completion. Consider reducing frequency or running holdout tests.
UG at 84.7% vs GH at 66.4%. Pattern holds: UG consistently shows higher KYC recovery rates, possibly due to smaller/higher-intent user base or different KYC friction points.
36.9% vs 67.2% for GH — the only KYC journey where UG underperforms GH. May indicate a device/camera quality issue specific to the UG user base making selfie completion genuinely harder.
| Journey | ID | Entered | Goals Met | Goal Rate | Timed Out | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savings Goal Journeys (GH) · Triggered by savings goal selection | ||||||
| Savings Goal: Emergency | 340 | 429 | 225 | 52.5% | 10 | Best savings |
| Savings Goal: Education | 342 | 175 | 95 | 54.3% | 7 | Solid |
| Savings Goal: Rent | 343 | 152 | 85 | 55.9% | 6 | Solid |
| Savings Goal: Buy Something | 338 | 82 | 46 | 56.1% | 6 | Solid |
| Savings Goal: Business | 337 | 369 | 155 | 42.0% | 14 | OK |
| Savings Goal: Investment | 330 | 349 | 146 | 41.8% | 20 | OK |
| Savings Goal: Travel | 339 | 32 | 17 | 53.1% | 2 | Tiny volume |
| Savings Goal: Family | 341 | 86 | 28 | 32.6% | 1 | Lowest |
| Other Journeys | ||||||
| GH Savings Promotion A/B Test | 306 | 52,817 | 1,619 | 3.1% | 62,251 | Low rate, massive timeout |
| [UG] Salary Advance Popup V3 | 212 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0 | Dormant |
42-56% goal rates across 8 savings journeys, but total entries only ~1,674. These users self-selected a goal so high intent is expected. The journeys work as nudges for an already-committed segment.
52,817 entered, 62,251 timed out (more timeouts than entries = cumulative from earlier cohorts), 3.1% goal rate. This legacy A/B test is burning notification budget with near-zero conversion. Recommend stopping.
| Journey | GH Entered | GH Goal Rate | UG Entered | UG Goal Rate | Delta | Winner | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J01 Reg → KYC | 40,903 | 62.1% | 13,242 | 55.6% | -6.5pp | GH | GH 3x volume, higher rate |
| J02 KYC → Survey | 24,612 | 78.0% | 6,738 | 88.8% | +10.8pp | UG | UG significantly better |
| J03 Eligible → Loan | 25,383 | 36.5% | 3,431 | 63.4% | +26.9pp | UG | UG almost 2x rate |
| J04 Ineligible → Imp | 19,181 | 3.5% | 5,843 | 3.4% | -0.1pp | Tied | Both low |
| J05 L0 → L1 | 10,291 | 23.3% | 2,310 | 22.5% | -0.8pp | Tied | Near-identical |
| J06 Reborrow | 5,029 | 71.7% | 1,186 | 86.9% | +15.2pp | UG | UG reborrow champion |
| J09 App Drop | 13,471 | 51.2% | 7,860 | 76.8% | +25.6pp | UG | UG 50% better |
| J10 Referral Post-Repay | 14,421 | 5.9% | 1,513 | 23.7% | +17.8pp | UG | UG 4x rate |
| J11 Referral Post-Disb | 29,049 | 4.9% | 3,311 | 24.0% | +19.1pp | UG | UG 5x rate |
| J12 Referral Banner | 4,466 | 32.0% | 1,804 | 60.4% | +28.4pp | UG | UG nearly 2x rate |
| J11 Bigger Loan | 14,274 | 21.0% | 2,803 | 36.9% | +15.9pp | UG | UG significantly better |
| J12 Bigger Loan | 5,802 | 21.4% | 1,875 | 32.4% | +11.0pp | UG | UG materially better |
| KYC-PD | 31,555 | 94.4% | 9,047 | 94.9% | +0.5pp | Tied | Both excellent |
| KYC-LV | 47,077 | 66.4% | 10,545 | 84.7% | +18.3pp | UG | UG materially better |
| KYC-NI | 36,865 | 58.1% | 12,291 | 59.3% | +1.2pp | Tied | Near-identical |
| KYC-SF | 4,809 | 67.2% | 1,507 | 36.9% | -30.3pp | GH | GH dominates |
Uganda consistently shows higher goal rates across almost every journey type. However, UG entered volumes are 3-10x smaller than GH. This pattern is classic small-cohort/high-intent: UG's earlier adopters are more motivated. As UG scales, expect rates to converge toward GH levels. The exception is KYC-SF where GH leads by 30pp — suggesting UG users face genuine selfie/device friction.
Push CTR by node position. SMS nodes excluded (no click tracking). Data from May 20 baseline report. Sorted by best N01 CTR.
| Journey | ID | N01 CTR | N02 CTR | N03 CTR | Mid CTR | Last CTR | Decay | Pattern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KYC-LV | 379 | 32.68% | 1.80% | 1.34% | 0.57% | 0.57% | -98% | Cliff after N01 |
| KYC-SF | 375 | 25.03% | 3.92% | 3.22% | — | 3.22% | -87% | Sharp N01 drop |
| J02 KYC→Survey | 356 | 13.38% | 6.40% | 3.15% | 1.58% | 2.05% | -85% | Steep decay |
| J06 Reborrow | 362 | 11.31% | 9.72% | 7.80% | 8.62% | 9.20% | -19% | Flat — best retention |
| KYC Fail V3 | 353 | 9.33% | — | 6.68% | 3.50% | 3.50% | -63% | Moderate |
| J03 Eligible→Loan | 358 | 8.34% | 4.28% | 2.82% | 2.61% | 2.36% | -72% | Flat tail — resistant |
| J04 Ineligible | 357 | 8.08% | 3.79% | 3.40% | 3.21% | 2.90% | -64% | Moderate |
| J12 Referral Banner | 397 | 7.81% | — | 6.59% | 4.24% | 4.38% | -44% | Good retention |
| KYC-NI | 382 | 6.63% | — | 1.47% | 0.92% | 0.92% | -86% | Sharp drop |
| J09 App Drop | 365 | 6.08% | 3.98% | 4.37% | 2.06% | 1.20% | -80% | Steep late decay |
| J05 L0→L1 | 361 | 4.75% | 4.47% | 3.42% | 3.33% | 4.73% | -0.4% | U-shape — late rally |
| J08 EasySave | 364 | 3.25% | 3.09% | 1.57% | 1.60% | 2.08% | -36% | Low baseline |
| J10 Referral Post-Repay | 366 | 2.92% | — | 1.66% | 0.96% | 0.54% | -82% | Heavy fatigue |
| J01 Reg→KYC | 355 | 2.61% | 2.00% | 1.81% | 1.36% | 1.36% | -48% | Low engagement |
| J11 Referral Post-Disb | 391 | 2.54% | — | 1.62% | 1.18% | 0.70% | -72% | Steep decay |
11.3% → 9.2% across 8 push nodes — only 19% decay. This audience is highly engaged (post-repayment borrowers). Every node contributes meaningfully. Model journey for engagement retention.
N01 gets 32.7% CTR (extraordinary), then N03 drops to 1.8%. Almost all value is in the first push. Nodes 3-5 are burning notification budget for <1% incremental engagement. Consider removing or reducing post-N01 nodes.
CTR dips mid-journey (3.3%) but rallies at the end (4.7%). The "congrats on repayment" and "borrow again" nodes re-engage users who've completed their first cycle. Smart journey design.
Journeys with N01 CTR >8% (J02, J06, KYC-LV, KYC-SF) all achieve >60% goal rates. Journeys with N01 <4% (J01, J08, J10, J11-Ref) all have goal rates under 10%. First-touch engagement is the strongest predictor of journey effectiveness.
| Overlap Pair | Risk Level | Mechanism | Est. Overlap | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-Risk Overlaps — Same lifecycle stage | ||||
| J11 BigLoan (389) + J12 BigLoan (390) | HIGH | By design: J11 triggers eligible users, J12 catches banner clickers. But overlapping users get double notifications. | ~1,100 (GH) | Add exit condition: when user enters J12, suppress J11 notifications. Currently 6-16% overlap. |
| J10 Referral (366) + J11 Referral (391) | HIGH | Both target post-loan users for referral. J10 = post-repayment, J11 = post-disbursement. Users who repay quickly enter both. | ~5,000-10,000 | Mutually exclusive entry: if user is in J11, suppress J10 entry (or vice versa). Pick one referral touchpoint per user. |
| J06 Reborrow (362) + J10 Referral (366) | MEDIUM | Both trigger post-repayment. User gets reborrow AND referral nudges simultaneously. | ~3,000-5,000 | Prioritize J06 (71.7% goal rate) over J10 (5.9%). Delay J10 entry until J06 completes or user reborrows. |
| Medium-Risk Overlaps — Adjacent lifecycle stages | ||||
| Multiple KYC journeys per user | MEDIUM | User can fail liveness AND have no ID, entering KYC-LV (379) + KYC-NI (382) simultaneously. | ~2,000-5,000 | Implement priority stack: resolve most blocking KYC issue first. Suppress secondary KYC journey until primary completes. |
| J01 Reg→KYC + KYC failure journeys | MEDIUM | User in J01 who fails KYC enters a failure recovery journey while still receiving J01 nudges. | ~10,000-15,000 | Exit user from J01 when they enter any KYC-specific recovery journey. J01's broad KYC nudge is redundant once a specific failure is identified. |
| J08 EasySave (364) + any loan journey | MEDIUM | J08 has 37K+ entries and targets a broad base. Many users are also in J03, J05, or J06. | ~10,000-20,000 | Suppress J08 for users actively in a loan conversion journey. Savings cross-sell should not compete with loan conversion. |
| Low-Risk / By-Design Overlaps | ||||
| J03 Eligible→Loan + J05 L0→L1 | LOW | Sequential: J03 drives first loan, J05 nurtures L0 to L1. Should be mutually exclusive by stage. | Minimal if exits work | Verify J03 exit condition triggers before J05 entry. No action needed if sequential. |
| Savings Goal journeys (8 parallel) | LOW | Each goal is a separate journey. User picks one goal, enters one journey. No overlap by design. | ~0 | No action needed. Correctly segmented. |
| Journey | Goals Met | Est. Notifications Sent | Notifs / Goal | Efficiency | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KYC-PD GH | GH | 29,777 | ~7,500 | 0.3 | Excellent — SMS reminders only |
| J06 Reborrow GH | GH | 3,606 | ~19,000 | 5.3 | Good — high-intent audience |
| J02 KYC→Survey GH | GH | 19,186 | ~44,000 | 2.3 | Good |
| J03 Eligible→Loan GH | GH | 9,275 | ~360,000 | 38.8 | Heavy — 9 nodes × 73K recipients |
| J01 Reg→KYC GH | GH | 25,404 | ~110,000 | 4.3 | Moderate |
| J08 EasySave GH | GH | 1,058 | ~487,000 | 460 | Extremely inefficient |
| J11 Referral Post-Disb GH | GH | 1,432 | ~253,000 | 177 | Very inefficient |
| J10 Referral Post-Repay GH | GH | 852 | ~151,000 | 177 | Very inefficient |
| J04 Ineligible GH | GH | 675 | ~189,000 | 280 | Very inefficient |
| Savings Promo A/B | GH | 1,619 | ~52,000+ | 32+ | Inefficient + 62K timeouts |